Assessment of probability of aircraft crashes for Nuclear Science Research Institute

Kamikawa, Yutaka; Suzuki, Makoto; Agake, Toshiki; Murakami, Takahiko; Morita, Yusuke; Shiina, Hidenori; Fukushima, Manabu; Hirane, Nobuhiko; Ouchi, Yasuhiro

JAEA-Technology 2023-030, 57 Pages, 2024/03

JAEA-Technology-2023-030.pdf:1.93MB

Owing to the publication of the latest data about aircraft crashes by Nuclear Regulation Authority (NRA), it was necessary to re-evaluate the probabilities of aircraft crashes for Nuclear Science Research Institute (NSRI). By using of the assessment method provided in "Regulatory Guide of the Assessment Standard for Probability of Airplane Crash on a Nuclear Power Reactor Facility", we re-evaluated the probabilities of aircraft crashes against the nuclear facilities in NSRI. As a result of the evaluations, the sum of the probabilities of aircraft crashes against Waste Treatment Facilities (maximum probability among all nuclear facilities in NSRI) is 5.6810 (times/(reactor year)) which is lower than 10 (times/(reactor year)) that is the assessment criterion whether aircraft crashes is considered to be "anticipated external human induced events" in design basis or not.